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icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?

Juni 12

Juni 13

Juni 14

Juni 15

Juni 12

Juni 13

Juni 14

Juni 15

26°C 77%

25°C 17%

24°C 4.1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket
NEU

$13,725 Vol.

26°C 77%

25°C 17%

24°C 4.1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket
NEU

$13,725 Vol.

22°C oder darunter

$890 Vol.

1%

23°C

$991 Vol.

1%

24°C

$806 Vol.

4%

25°C

$481 Vol.

17%

26°C

$1,178 Vol.

77%

27°C

$4,828 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$1,800 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$1,825 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$408 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$151 Vol.

<1%

32°C oder höher

$406 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 15 amid an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with heavy rain and high cloud cover.** This setup favors radiative cooling limits typical of humid summer nights, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 75.5% implied probability. Model consensus and historical June climatology (average overnight lows near 26°C) support this range, with 25°C as a plausible secondary outcome at 17% if rainfall intensifies overnight. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August provide broader context but do not override the short-term daily guidance. Traders appear to weigh the official 26–29°C daytime range and associated moisture effects most heavily, with lower outcomes (24°C or below) priced minimally due to limited cooling potential under these atmospheric conditions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,725
Enddatum
15. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 15 amid an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions with heavy rain and high cloud cover.** This setup favors radiative cooling limits typical of humid summer nights, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 75.5% implied probability. Model consensus and historical June climatology (average overnight lows near 26°C) support this range, with 25°C as a plausible secondary outcome at 17% if rainfall intensifies overnight. Above-normal seasonal temperatures expected for June–August provide broader context but do not override the short-term daily guidance. Traders appear to weigh the official 26–29°C daytime range and associated moisture effects most heavily, with lower outcomes (24°C or below) priced minimally due to limited cooling potential under these atmospheric conditions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,725
Enddatum
15. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „26°C" mit 77%, gefolgt von „25°C" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 77¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $13.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 13, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?" ist „26°C" mit 77%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 77% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „25°C" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. Juni?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.