Current short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance points to a maximum of 11–13 °C in Wellington on June 16, with 12 °C narrowly favored by traders because of a developing southerly flow that is expected to limit daytime warming under cloudy conditions and moderate winds. June climatology places the long-term average high near 13 °C, and the NIWA seasonal outlook continues to classify temperatures as most likely near average, yet the two-day lead time keeps spread between ensemble members narrow. Frequent MetService updates and any shift in steering flow could quickly reprice the closely matched 12 °C and 13 °C contracts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 37%
13°C 36%
11°C 19%
14°C 4.8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
19%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 36%
11°C 19%
14°C 4.8%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
19%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from MetService and international guidance points to a maximum of 11–13 °C in Wellington on June 16, with 12 °C narrowly favored by traders because of a developing southerly flow that is expected to limit daytime warming under cloudy conditions and moderate winds. June climatology places the long-term average high near 13 °C, and the NIWA seasonal outlook continues to classify temperatures as most likely near average, yet the two-day lead time keeps spread between ensemble members narrow. Frequent MetService updates and any shift in steering flow could quickly reprice the closely matched 12 °C and 13 °C contracts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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