**Forecasts from major meteorological sources project Moscow's June 14 high near 19–20 °C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** June climatology places typical maxima around 20–22 °C, but current synoptic patterns—with northeasterly flow and reduced insolation—have kept observed temperatures below seasonal norms, aligning trader probabilities heavily toward 19 °C (51 %) and 18 °C (33 %). Model consensus shows only modest afternoon warming potential, with any brief clearing unlikely to push readings above 21 °C given the timing of precipitation and stable boundary-layer conditions. Resolution hinges on official station data for the calendar-day maximum, and fresh model updates or radar trends could refine the narrow 18–20 °C window before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
19°C 51%
18°C 27.4%
20°C 23%
21°C 3.0%
$53,779 Vol.
$53,779 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
27%
19°C
51%
20°C
23%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 51%
18°C 27.4%
20°C 23%
21°C 3.0%
$53,779 Vol.
$53,779 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
27%
19°C
51%
20°C
23%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from major meteorological sources project Moscow's June 14 high near 19–20 °C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** June climatology places typical maxima around 20–22 °C, but current synoptic patterns—with northeasterly flow and reduced insolation—have kept observed temperatures below seasonal norms, aligning trader probabilities heavily toward 19 °C (51 %) and 18 °C (33 %). Model consensus shows only modest afternoon warming potential, with any brief clearing unlikely to push readings above 21 °C given the timing of precipitation and stable boundary-layer conditions. Resolution hinges on official station data for the calendar-day maximum, and fresh model updates or radar trends could refine the narrow 18–20 °C window before the market settles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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