AEMET’s official forecast for Madrid on June 14 sets a maximum of 34°C, anchoring the near-even split between the 34°C (49.5%) and 35°C (41.5%) contracts. Afternoon instability and possible thundershowers, noted in multiple model outputs, introduce modest uncertainty around peak heating timing and cloud cover at the Retiro reference station. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering in the mid-30s Celsius range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation sufficient to tip the daily high across the 34–35°C threshold. Traders weigh these factors against climatological norms for mid-June, where Madrid highs commonly reach 28–32°C, making any late-day convective cooling or clearer-sky warming the decisive variables still unresolved on resolution day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
34°C 51%
35°C 32%
33°C 7%
36°C 3.3%
$46,623 Vol.
$46,623 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
51%
35°C
32%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 51%
35°C 32%
33°C 7%
36°C 3.3%
$46,623 Vol.
$46,623 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
31°C or below
$3,939 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,417 Vol.
1%
33°C
$7,190 Vol.
7%
34°C
$6,281 Vol.
51%
35°C
$9,606 Vol.
32%
36°C
$8,265 Vol.
3%
37°C
$3,080 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,327 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET’s official forecast for Madrid on June 14 sets a maximum of 34°C, anchoring the near-even split between the 34°C (49.5%) and 35°C (41.5%) contracts. Afternoon instability and possible thundershowers, noted in multiple model outputs, introduce modest uncertainty around peak heating timing and cloud cover at the Retiro reference station. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering in the mid-30s Celsius range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation sufficient to tip the daily high across the 34–35°C threshold. Traders weigh these factors against climatological norms for mid-June, where Madrid highs commonly reach 28–32°C, making any late-day convective cooling or clearer-sky warming the decisive variables still unresolved on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$46,623Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET’s official forecast for Madrid on June 14 sets a maximum of 34°C, anchoring the near-even split between the 34°C (49.5%) and 35°C (41.5%) contracts. Afternoon instability and possible thundershowers, noted in multiple model outputs, introduce modest uncertainty around peak heating timing and cloud cover at the Retiro reference station. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering in the mid-30s Celsius range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation sufficient to tip the daily high across the 34–35°C threshold. Traders weigh these factors against climatological norms for mid-June, where Madrid highs commonly reach 28–32°C, making any late-day convective cooling or clearer-sky warming the decisive variables still unresolved on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$46,623Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...AEMET’s official forecast for Madrid on June 14 sets a maximum of 34°C, anchoring the near-even split between the 34°C (49.5%) and 35°C (41.5%) contracts. Afternoon instability and possible thundershowers, noted in multiple model outputs, introduce modest uncertainty around peak heating timing and cloud cover at the Retiro reference station. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show tight clustering in the mid-30s Celsius range, with small differences in boundary-layer moisture or insolation sufficient to tip the daily high across the 34–35°C threshold. Traders weigh these factors against climatological norms for mid-June, where Madrid highs commonly reach 28–32°C, making any late-day convective cooling or clearer-sky warming the decisive variables still unresolved on resolution day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen