Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance place Paris’s June 14 maximum near 25–26 °C under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, keeping implied probabilities nearly even. Above-normal warmth from recent days adds slight upward bias, yet any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 25 °C, while clearer conditions would favor 26 °C or a brief excursion to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs and observational trends ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
25°C 46%
26°C 42%
24°C 8.5%
27°C 4.6%
$53,106 Vol.
$53,106 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
46%
26°C
42%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
26°C 42%
24°C 8.5%
27°C 4.6%
$53,106 Vol.
$53,106 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
20°C or below
$3,004 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,550 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,226 Vol.
1%
24°C
$8,833 Vol.
9%
25°C
$6,521 Vol.
46%
26°C
$6,503 Vol.
42%
27°C
$7,486 Vol.
5%
28°C
$6,548 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,393 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$3,423 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance place Paris’s June 14 maximum near 25–26 °C under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, keeping implied probabilities nearly even. Above-normal warmth from recent days adds slight upward bias, yet any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 25 °C, while clearer conditions would favor 26 °C or a brief excursion to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs and observational trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$53,106Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance place Paris’s June 14 maximum near 25–26 °C under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, keeping implied probabilities nearly even. Above-normal warmth from recent days adds slight upward bias, yet any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 25 °C, while clearer conditions would favor 26 °C or a brief excursion to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs and observational trends ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$53,106Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model guidance place Paris’s June 14 maximum near 25–26 °C under building high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light northwesterly flow that supports modest boundary-layer mixing and strong daytime insolation. Minor differences in predicted cloud cover and 850 hPa temperatures create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, keeping implied probabilities nearly even. Above-normal warmth from recent days adds slight upward bias, yet any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 25 °C, while clearer conditions would favor 26 °C or a brief excursion to 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighing the latest model runs and observational trends ahead of final resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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