Recent model guidance from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Paris near 17–19°C on June 16 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that has replaced earlier unsettled conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds will limit radiative cooling, while a warmer southerly flow keeps the boundary layer mild. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C around the minimum reflect typical uncertainties in nocturnal mixing and exact cloud timing. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 13–14°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that explains why traders assign the highest probabilities to 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF on June 15 will further refine the precise minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 16. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 16. Juni?
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
18°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C
28%
20°C
24%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
18°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
16°C oder darunter
$76 Vol.
4%
17°C
$33 Vol.
8%
18°C
$26 Vol.
8%
19°C
$20 Vol.
28%
20°C
$25 Vol.
24%
21°C
$54 Vol.
4%
22°C
$31 Vol.
4%
23°C
$38 Vol.
1%
24°C
$174 Vol.
1%
25°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Paris near 17–19°C on June 16 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that has replaced earlier unsettled conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds will limit radiative cooling, while a warmer southerly flow keeps the boundary layer mild. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C around the minimum reflect typical uncertainties in nocturnal mixing and exact cloud timing. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 13–14°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that explains why traders assign the highest probabilities to 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF on June 15 will further refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$594Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Paris near 17–19°C on June 16 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that has replaced earlier unsettled conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds will limit radiative cooling, while a warmer southerly flow keeps the boundary layer mild. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C around the minimum reflect typical uncertainties in nocturnal mixing and exact cloud timing. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 13–14°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that explains why traders assign the highest probabilities to 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF on June 15 will further refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$594Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from European and global ensembles points to overnight lows in Paris near 17–19°C on June 16 under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that has replaced earlier unsettled conditions. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds will limit radiative cooling, while a warmer southerly flow keeps the boundary layer mild. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C around the minimum reflect typical uncertainties in nocturnal mixing and exact cloud timing. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 13–14°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that explains why traders assign the highest probabilities to 19°C and 20°C outcomes. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF on June 15 will further refine the precise minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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