Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light easterly winds will likely produce a Paris minimum near 12–13°C on June 15, aligning with the market’s tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities for those bins. Clear skies overnight enhance heat loss from the urban surface, while climatological baselines for mid-June place typical lows between 11–16°C; any subtle shift in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the exact value between these adjacent thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Paris-Montsouris station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 15. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 15. Juni?
12°C 38%
13°C 31%
11°C 7%
14°C 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
10°C oder weniger
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
38%
13°C
31%
14°C
7%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 38%
13°C 31%
11°C 7%
14°C 7%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
10°C oder weniger
$17 Vol.
2%
11°C
$937 Vol.
7%
12°C
$126 Vol.
38%
13°C
$88 Vol.
31%
14°C
$26 Vol.
7%
15°C
$42 Vol.
4%
16°C
$291 Vol.
1%
17°C
$556 Vol.
1%
18°C
$500 Vol.
1%
19°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
20°C oder höher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light easterly winds will likely produce a Paris minimum near 12–13°C on June 15, aligning with the market’s tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities for those bins. Clear skies overnight enhance heat loss from the urban surface, while climatological baselines for mid-June place typical lows between 11–16°C; any subtle shift in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the exact value between these adjacent thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Paris-Montsouris station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$3,106Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light easterly winds will likely produce a Paris minimum near 12–13°C on June 15, aligning with the market’s tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities for those bins. Clear skies overnight enhance heat loss from the urban surface, while climatological baselines for mid-June place typical lows between 11–16°C; any subtle shift in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the exact value between these adjacent thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Paris-Montsouris station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,106Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under persistent high pressure and light easterly winds will likely produce a Paris minimum near 12–13°C on June 15, aligning with the market’s tight 37.5% and 32% implied probabilities for those bins. Clear skies overnight enhance heat loss from the urban surface, while climatological baselines for mid-June place typical lows between 11–16°C; any subtle shift in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the exact value between these adjacent thresholds. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Paris-Montsouris station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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