Recent forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles project a minimum air temperature of 13°C in central Paris overnight into June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with observed regional patterns where June nocturnal lows typically range 12–16°C, and current runs show tight clustering around 13°C with minimal spread across ensembles. Market-implied odds of 99.7% for exactly 13°C reflect traders' confidence in these guidance products and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects pushing the recorded minimum above or below the 13°C threshold before final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 14. Juni?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles project a minimum air temperature of 13°C in central Paris overnight into June 14, 2026, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system. This aligns with observed regional patterns where June nocturnal lows typically range 12–16°C, and current runs show tight clustering around 13°C with minimal spread across ensembles. Market-implied odds of 99.7% for exactly 13°C reflect traders' confidence in these guidance products and the resolution criteria tied to official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban heat effects pushing the recorded minimum above or below the 13°C threshold before final verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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