Recent model consensus for Shanghai’s June 16 nocturnal minimum centers on 22–23 °C because persistent low-level moisture and expected cloud cover from the early plum-rain regime will limit radiative cooling. High humidity reduces the diurnal temperature range, while light easterly flow off the East China Sea adds a modest marine influence that prevents stronger drops. Urban-heat-island effects in central districts may keep official readings near the upper end of that band. With leading probabilities closely split, traders are weighting the next 48-hour runs from global and regional ensembles that will refine boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 16. Juni?
23°C 35%
22°C 29%
24°C 21%
21°C 12%
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
35%
24°C
21%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 35%
22°C 29%
24°C 21%
21°C 12%
18°C oder darunter
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
29%
23°C
35%
24°C
21%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Shanghai’s June 16 nocturnal minimum centers on 22–23 °C because persistent low-level moisture and expected cloud cover from the early plum-rain regime will limit radiative cooling. High humidity reduces the diurnal temperature range, while light easterly flow off the East China Sea adds a modest marine influence that prevents stronger drops. Urban-heat-island effects in central districts may keep official readings near the upper end of that band. With leading probabilities closely split, traders are weighting the next 48-hour runs from global and regional ensembles that will refine boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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