**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend over central Spain, positioning 33–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 16 maximum.** A strengthening high-pressure system is promoting clear skies and subsidence, enhancing daytime solar heating under lengthening daylight near the solstice. Light winds and dry conditions limit cooling, while the city’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally. Ensemble models show consistency around 33–35°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or advection could shift the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated probability on these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts in stable summer regimes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 48%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 6%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
48%
34°C
27%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 27%
32°C 20%
35°C 6%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
30°C or below
$136 Vol.
4%
31°C
$152 Vol.
5%
32°C
$166 Vol.
20%
33°C
$289 Vol.
48%
34°C
$188 Vol.
27%
35°C
$66 Vol.
6%
36°C
$52 Vol.
1%
37°C
$72 Vol.
1%
38°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend over central Spain, positioning 33–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 16 maximum.** A strengthening high-pressure system is promoting clear skies and subsidence, enhancing daytime solar heating under lengthening daylight near the solstice. Light winds and dry conditions limit cooling, while the city’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally. Ensemble models show consistency around 33–35°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or advection could shift the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated probability on these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts in stable summer regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,066Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend over central Spain, positioning 33–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 16 maximum.** A strengthening high-pressure system is promoting clear skies and subsidence, enhancing daytime solar heating under lengthening daylight near the solstice. Light winds and dry conditions limit cooling, while the city’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally. Ensemble models show consistency around 33–35°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or advection could shift the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated probability on these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts in stable summer regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,066Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a warming trend over central Spain, positioning 33–34°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 16 maximum.** A strengthening high-pressure system is promoting clear skies and subsidence, enhancing daytime solar heating under lengthening daylight near the solstice. Light winds and dry conditions limit cooling, while the city’s urban heat island adds 1–2°C locally. Ensemble models show consistency around 33–35°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or advection could shift the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders have concentrated probability on these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical for short-range temperature forecasts in stable summer regimes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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