Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Moscow's June 15 high will likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C amid moderate Atlantic air influence and limited blocking highs. Recent model runs show consistency in steering patterns and minimal daytime heating potential due to cloud cover, though small variations in timing or precipitation could differentiate between 20°C and 23°C resolution. Traders weigh these short-range ensemble outputs against historical variability, where extremes beyond 25°C remain rare this early in summer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 15?
22°C 29%
21°C 25%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
25%
22°C
29%
23°C
17%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 29%
21°C 25%
20°C 18%
23°C 17%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
16°C or below
$303 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$363 Vol.
1%
19°C
$496 Vol.
6%
20°C
$182 Vol.
18%
21°C
$124 Vol.
25%
22°C
$169 Vol.
29%
23°C
$238 Vol.
17%
24°C
$571 Vol.
7%
25°C
$1,357 Vol.
3%
26°C or higher
$529 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Moscow's June 15 high will likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C amid moderate Atlantic air influence and limited blocking highs. Recent model runs show consistency in steering patterns and minimal daytime heating potential due to cloud cover, though small variations in timing or precipitation could differentiate between 20°C and 23°C resolution. Traders weigh these short-range ensemble outputs against historical variability, where extremes beyond 25°C remain rare this early in summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$4,813Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Moscow's June 15 high will likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C amid moderate Atlantic air influence and limited blocking highs. Recent model runs show consistency in steering patterns and minimal daytime heating potential due to cloud cover, though small variations in timing or precipitation could differentiate between 20°C and 23°C resolution. Traders weigh these short-range ensemble outputs against historical variability, where extremes beyond 25°C remain rare this early in summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,813Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Moscow's June 15 high will likely reach 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C outcomes. This reflects typical mid-June climatology, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C amid moderate Atlantic air influence and limited blocking highs. Recent model runs show consistency in steering patterns and minimal daytime heating potential due to cloud cover, though small variations in timing or precipitation could differentiate between 20°C and 23°C resolution. Traders weigh these short-range ensemble outputs against historical variability, where extremes beyond 25°C remain rare this early in summer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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