Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's June 16 high will likely fall between 17–20 °C, with light rain or sprinkles and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and modest southerly flow, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18 °C (28.5 %) and 19 °C (24.5 %). Historical mid-June climatology averages near 21 °C, yet current guidance shows below-normal insolation and possible afternoon showers that cap temperatures, keeping 20 °C or higher at just 12.2 % implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 29%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 12.2%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
21%
18°C
29%
19°C
25%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 29%
19°C 25%
17°C 21%
20°C 12.2%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
12°C or below
$86 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$167 Vol.
1%
14°C
$73 Vol.
2%
15°C
$25 Vol.
3%
16°C
$54 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$5 Vol.
29%
19°C
$26 Vol.
25%
20°C
$1 Vol.
12%
21°C
$99 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$115 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's June 16 high will likely fall between 17–20 °C, with light rain or sprinkles and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and modest southerly flow, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18 °C (28.5 %) and 19 °C (24.5 %). Historical mid-June climatology averages near 21 °C, yet current guidance shows below-normal insolation and possible afternoon showers that cap temperatures, keeping 20 °C or higher at just 12.2 % implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$651Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's June 16 high will likely fall between 17–20 °C, with light rain or sprinkles and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and modest southerly flow, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18 °C (28.5 %) and 19 °C (24.5 %). Historical mid-June climatology averages near 21 °C, yet current guidance shows below-normal insolation and possible afternoon showers that cap temperatures, keeping 20 °C or higher at just 12.2 % implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$651Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's June 16 high will likely fall between 17–20 °C, with light rain or sprinkles and increased cloud cover suppressing peak solar heating. These conditions, tied to a passing low-pressure system and modest southerly flow, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18 °C (28.5 %) and 19 °C (24.5 %). Historical mid-June climatology averages near 21 °C, yet current guidance shows below-normal insolation and possible afternoon showers that cap temperatures, keeping 20 °C or higher at just 12.2 % implied probability. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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