Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rainy and cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 15, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring projected highs near 20–22°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation keeps surface temperatures in check, consistent with the early phase of the tsuyu rainy season. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to northerly flow and high humidity, narrowing the likely maximum to a tight band where small differences in timing or intensity of showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty, with real-money probabilities clustering tightly around the most probable outcomes from the latest guidance. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine the range further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 15. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 15. Juni?
21°C 41%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 3.5%
NEU
$31,111 Vol.
NEU
$31,111 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
17°C oder darunter
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
41%
22°C
34%
23°C
16%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 3.5%
NEU
$31,111 Vol.
NEU
$31,111 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
17°C oder darunter
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,760 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,489 Vol.
1%
20°C
$2,567 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,315 Vol.
41%
22°C
$1,356 Vol.
34%
23°C
$1,039 Vol.
16%
24°C
$2,438 Vol.
2%
25°C
$3,178 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,437 Vol.
<1%
27°C oder höher
$4,620 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rainy and cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 15, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring projected highs near 20–22°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation keeps surface temperatures in check, consistent with the early phase of the tsuyu rainy season. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to northerly flow and high humidity, narrowing the likely maximum to a tight band where small differences in timing or intensity of showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty, with real-money probabilities clustering tightly around the most probable outcomes from the latest guidance. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$31,111Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rainy and cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 15, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring projected highs near 20–22°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation keeps surface temperatures in check, consistent with the early phase of the tsuyu rainy season. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to northerly flow and high humidity, narrowing the likely maximum to a tight band where small differences in timing or intensity of showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty, with real-money probabilities clustering tightly around the most probable outcomes from the latest guidance. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine the range further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,111Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate rainy and cloudy conditions for Tokyo on June 15, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring projected highs near 20–22°C. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation keeps surface temperatures in check, consistent with the early phase of the tsuyu rainy season. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to northerly flow and high humidity, narrowing the likely maximum to a tight band where small differences in timing or intensity of showers can shift the peak by 1°C. Trader positioning reflects this narrow uncertainty, with real-money probabilities clustering tightly around the most probable outcomes from the latest guidance. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key catalysts that could refine the range further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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