Traders see the 26°C outcome leading at 34% implied probability for Tokyo's June 16 high because long-range and ensemble forecasts from agencies like JMA cluster near the climatological average of 25–26°C during early tsuyu. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the Baiu front suppress insolation and cap daytime maxima, while variable steering flow and model spread in low-level moisture create the narrow edge for 27°C (28.5%) versus 25°C (17.5%). Recent strengthening of the Pacific High has delayed full rainy-season onset, keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely, but any brief clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 15 will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 7%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
21°C oder niedriger
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
34%
27°C
29%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C oder höher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 7%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
21°C oder niedriger
$660 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$67 Vol.
1%
23°C
$124 Vol.
2%
24°C
$63 Vol.
5%
25°C
$65 Vol.
17%
26°C
$68 Vol.
34%
27°C
$33 Vol.
29%
28°C
$109 Vol.
7%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$37 Vol.
1%
31°C oder höher
$346 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 26°C outcome leading at 34% implied probability for Tokyo's June 16 high because long-range and ensemble forecasts from agencies like JMA cluster near the climatological average of 25–26°C during early tsuyu. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the Baiu front suppress insolation and cap daytime maxima, while variable steering flow and model spread in low-level moisture create the narrow edge for 27°C (28.5%) versus 25°C (17.5%). Recent strengthening of the Pacific High has delayed full rainy-season onset, keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely, but any brief clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 15 will resolve remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,563Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 26°C outcome leading at 34% implied probability for Tokyo's June 16 high because long-range and ensemble forecasts from agencies like JMA cluster near the climatological average of 25–26°C during early tsuyu. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the Baiu front suppress insolation and cap daytime maxima, while variable steering flow and model spread in low-level moisture create the narrow edge for 27°C (28.5%) versus 25°C (17.5%). Recent strengthening of the Pacific High has delayed full rainy-season onset, keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely, but any brief clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 15 will resolve remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,563Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 26°C outcome leading at 34% implied probability for Tokyo's June 16 high because long-range and ensemble forecasts from agencies like JMA cluster near the climatological average of 25–26°C during early tsuyu. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the Baiu front suppress insolation and cap daytime maxima, while variable steering flow and model spread in low-level moisture create the narrow edge for 27°C (28.5%) versus 25°C (17.5%). Recent strengthening of the Pacific High has delayed full rainy-season onset, keeping extremes below 29°C unlikely, but any brief clearing or delayed precipitation could shift the realized peak by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official guidance through June 15 will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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