Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a most likely daily maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, underpinning the narrow lead for those two outcomes. The primary drivers are a weak high-pressure ridge favoring modest daytime heating, combined with variable cloud cover and light westerly flow that limits strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences in model timing of any scattered showers or increased low-level moisture can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C, creating the observed spread across 20–23 °C bins. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the tight probabilities reflect genuine remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer evolution over the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 33%
21°C 26%
23°C 17%
20°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
26%
22°C
33%
23°C
17%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 33%
21°C 26%
23°C 17%
20°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
16°C or below
$207 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$552 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,511 Vol.
4%
20°C
$1,056 Vol.
10%
21°C
$789 Vol.
26%
22°C
$539 Vol.
33%
23°C
$1,028 Vol.
17%
24°C
$428 Vol.
5%
25°C
$940 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$765 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a most likely daily maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, underpinning the narrow lead for those two outcomes. The primary drivers are a weak high-pressure ridge favoring modest daytime heating, combined with variable cloud cover and light westerly flow that limits strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences in model timing of any scattered showers or increased low-level moisture can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C, creating the observed spread across 20–23 °C bins. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the tight probabilities reflect genuine remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer evolution over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$8,273Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a most likely daily maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, underpinning the narrow lead for those two outcomes. The primary drivers are a weak high-pressure ridge favoring modest daytime heating, combined with variable cloud cover and light westerly flow that limits strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences in model timing of any scattered showers or increased low-level moisture can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C, creating the observed spread across 20–23 °C bins. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the tight probabilities reflect genuine remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer evolution over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,273Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models point to a most likely daily maximum of 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, underpinning the narrow lead for those two outcomes. The primary drivers are a weak high-pressure ridge favoring modest daytime heating, combined with variable cloud cover and light westerly flow that limits strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences in model timing of any scattered showers or increased low-level moisture can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C, creating the observed spread across 20–23 °C bins. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the tight probabilities reflect genuine remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer evolution over the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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