Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 15, driven by moderate north-westerly flow off the North Sea, limited cloud cover, and typical early-summer solar insolation without strong high-pressure buildup. This aligns with seasonal baselines near 19°C while reflecting recent model runs showing stable, non-extreme conditions and no incoming warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader consensus clusters on 17–18°C because these values match the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-June, with smaller probabilities for 19°C or cooler outliers reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban effects ahead of final KNMI observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 13%
16°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
19°C 13%
16°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a daytime maximum of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 15, driven by moderate north-westerly flow off the North Sea, limited cloud cover, and typical early-summer solar insolation without strong high-pressure buildup. This aligns with seasonal baselines near 19°C while reflecting recent model runs showing stable, non-extreme conditions and no incoming warm advection or heatwave signals. Trader consensus clusters on 17–18°C because these values match the latest ensemble guidance and historical analogs for mid-June, with smaller probabilities for 19°C or cooler outliers reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local urban effects ahead of final KNMI observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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