Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicate a likely maximum of around 22°C in Amsterdam on June 16, 2026, amid mild Atlantic flow with possible light rain and moderate winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model consensus on limited warming under typical early-summer conditions, following a drier, warmer-than-average early June across the Netherlands that raised baseline temperatures without pushing extremes. Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context, while ensemble spread and short-range uncertainty—particularly around cloud cover and timing of any showers—sustain modest probability on 24°C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 16?
23°C 38%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
27%
23°C
38%
24°C
20%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
23°C 38%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
16°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$149 Vol.
1%
19°C
$68 Vol.
1%
20°C
$328 Vol.
2%
21°C
$285 Vol.
8%
22°C
$40 Vol.
27%
23°C
$37 Vol.
38%
24°C
$152 Vol.
20%
25°C
$59 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$298 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicate a likely maximum of around 22°C in Amsterdam on June 16, 2026, amid mild Atlantic flow with possible light rain and moderate winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model consensus on limited warming under typical early-summer conditions, following a drier, warmer-than-average early June across the Netherlands that raised baseline temperatures without pushing extremes. Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context, while ensemble spread and short-range uncertainty—particularly around cloud cover and timing of any showers—sustain modest probability on 24°C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,951Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicate a likely maximum of around 22°C in Amsterdam on June 16, 2026, amid mild Atlantic flow with possible light rain and moderate winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model consensus on limited warming under typical early-summer conditions, following a drier, warmer-than-average early June across the Netherlands that raised baseline temperatures without pushing extremes. Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context, while ensemble spread and short-range uncertainty—particularly around cloud cover and timing of any showers—sustain modest probability on 24°C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,951Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicate a likely maximum of around 22°C in Amsterdam on June 16, 2026, amid mild Atlantic flow with possible light rain and moderate winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 22–23°C outcomes. This positioning reflects model consensus on limited warming under typical early-summer conditions, following a drier, warmer-than-average early June across the Netherlands that raised baseline temperatures without pushing extremes. Historical June averages near 19–20°C provide context, while ensemble spread and short-range uncertainty—particularly around cloud cover and timing of any showers—sustain modest probability on 24°C or higher. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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