**Strong forecast consensus from models and observational data supports the market's 98.1% implied probability on a 72–73°F low for NYC on June 13, 2026.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows overnight lows stabilizing near 73°F at LaGuardia (KLGA), consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows hover around 67°F but recent warmth has elevated readings. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal activity have kept temperatures elevated without significant nocturnal cooling. Traders price in this outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited spread and no major revisions expected before resolution. An unexpected late-day front or station-specific measurement variance could shift the exact reading, though current data make deviations outside 72–73°F unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 13. Juni?
72-73°F 98.3%
70-71°F 2.6%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$29,026 Vol.
$29,026 Vol.
63°F oder darunter
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
72-73°F 98.3%
70-71°F 2.6%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$29,026 Vol.
$29,026 Vol.
63°F oder darunter
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong forecast consensus from models and observational data supports the market's 98.1% implied probability on a 72–73°F low for NYC on June 13, 2026.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses shows overnight lows stabilizing near 73°F at LaGuardia (KLGA), consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows hover around 67°F but recent warmth has elevated readings. Stable high-pressure patterns and minimal frontal activity have kept temperatures elevated without significant nocturnal cooling. Traders price in this outcome because ensemble forecasts show limited spread and no major revisions expected before resolution. An unexpected late-day front or station-specific measurement variance could shift the exact reading, though current data make deviations outside 72–73°F unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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