Current forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen’s June 15 high in the 28–30 °C range amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity near 85 %, and scattered thundery showers limiting daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29 °C (36 %), 30 °C (23.5 %), and 28 °C (23 %). Traders weigh historical June averages around 30–31 °C against the latest model runs showing modest cooling from cloud cover and rainfall, while acknowledging uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential for localized intensification. Updated official observations tomorrow will determine resolution within the narrow 27–31 °C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 23%
31°C 11.7%
$11,564 Vol.
$11,564 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
23%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 23%
31°C 11.7%
$11,564 Vol.
$11,564 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
23%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen’s June 15 high in the 28–30 °C range amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity near 85 %, and scattered thundery showers limiting daytime heating. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 29 °C (36 %), 30 °C (23.5 %), and 28 °C (23 %). Traders weigh historical June averages around 30–31 °C against the latest model runs showing modest cooling from cloud cover and rainfall, while acknowledging uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential for localized intensification. Updated official observations tomorrow will determine resolution within the narrow 27–31 °C band.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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