National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on June 13, 2026, centered on a daily high of 82–83°F at Sea-Tac International Airport, driving the overwhelming 95.7% market-implied probability for that band. Model consensus from NOAA and supporting agencies aligned on stable high-pressure conditions favoring modest warming without significant marine influence or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs rarely exceed the low 80s absent anomalous heat. Traders weighted official observations at the resolution station heavily, as even minor forecast revisions rarely shift outcomes this close to resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected post-frontal clearing or localized warming pushing the official reading into the 84–85°F range, though current data show low odds for such deviation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seattle on June 13?
82-83°F 98.4%
84-85°F 1.5%
86°F or higher <1%
67°F or below <1%
$56,015 Vol.
$56,015 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
98%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 98.4%
84-85°F 1.5%
86°F or higher <1%
67°F or below <1%
$56,015 Vol.
$56,015 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
98%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on June 13, 2026, centered on a daily high of 82–83°F at Sea-Tac International Airport, driving the overwhelming 95.7% market-implied probability for that band. Model consensus from NOAA and supporting agencies aligned on stable high-pressure conditions favoring modest warming without significant marine influence or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs rarely exceed the low 80s absent anomalous heat. Traders weighted official observations at the resolution station heavily, as even minor forecast revisions rarely shift outcomes this close to resolution. A realistic challenge would require unexpected post-frontal clearing or localized warming pushing the official reading into the 84–85°F range, though current data show low odds for such deviation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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