**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on June 15, 2026, under largely dry conditions with variable cloud, sunny intervals, and a light southeasterly breeze.** This places the day near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of around 20°C, following the unusually hot May that saw multiple records broken. **Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 22–23°C (combined ~77% implied probability) because ensemble spreads and local factors—such as cloud timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects at official sites like Heathrow or Kew—introduce meaningful uncertainty around the exact peak.** The lower 10% odds on 24°C or higher reflect limited upside potential if clearer skies develop, while probabilities drop sharply below 21°C given the absence of strong cooling mechanisms in current guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Met Office, with updates from overnight model runs likely to refine the range before the day begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
23°C 40%
22°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C or higher 11.5%
NEU
$21,615 Vol.
NEU
$21,615 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
13%
22°C
37%
23°C
40%
24°C or higher
12%
23°C 40%
22°C 37%
21°C 13%
24°C or higher 11.5%
NEU
$21,615 Vol.
NEU
$21,615 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
14°C or below
$473 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$499 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,268 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,405 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,402 Vol.
3%
21°C
$3,064 Vol.
13%
22°C
$2,735 Vol.
37%
23°C
$2,606 Vol.
40%
24°C or higher
$4,218 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on June 15, 2026, under largely dry conditions with variable cloud, sunny intervals, and a light southeasterly breeze.** This places the day near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of around 20°C, following the unusually hot May that saw multiple records broken.
**Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 22–23°C (combined ~77% implied probability) because ensemble spreads and local factors—such as cloud timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects at official sites like Heathrow or Kew—introduce meaningful uncertainty around the exact peak.** The lower 10% odds on 24°C or higher reflect limited upside potential if clearer skies develop, while probabilities drop sharply below 21°C given the absence of strong cooling mechanisms in current guidance.
Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Met Office, with updates from overnight model runs likely to refine the range before the day begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$21,615Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on June 15, 2026, under largely dry conditions with variable cloud, sunny intervals, and a light southeasterly breeze.** This places the day near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of around 20°C, following the unusually hot May that saw multiple records broken.
**Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 22–23°C (combined ~77% implied probability) because ensemble spreads and local factors—such as cloud timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects at official sites like Heathrow or Kew—introduce meaningful uncertainty around the exact peak.** The lower 10% odds on 24°C or higher reflect limited upside potential if clearer skies develop, while probabilities drop sharply below 21°C given the absence of strong cooling mechanisms in current guidance.
Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Met Office, with updates from overnight model runs likely to refine the range before the day begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,615Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Met Office and BBC indicate a maximum of 23–24°C for London on June 15, 2026, under largely dry conditions with variable cloud, sunny intervals, and a light southeasterly breeze.** This places the day near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of around 20°C, following the unusually hot May that saw multiple records broken. **Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 22–23°C (combined ~77% implied probability) because ensemble spreads and local factors—such as cloud timing, wind strength, and urban heat-island effects at official sites like Heathrow or Kew—introduce meaningful uncertainty around the exact peak.** The lower 10% odds on 24°C or higher reflect limited upside potential if clearer skies develop, while probabilities drop sharply below 21°C given the absence of strong cooling mechanisms in current guidance. Key resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Met Office, with updates from overnight model runs likely to refine the range before the day begins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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