Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in London on June 15 most likely between 10–13 °C, driven by moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly clear skies and light winds following a cool, unsettled early-June pattern after May’s record heat. Ensemble spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the narrow probability differences among 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model runs and any revisions to cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Historical June climatology for central London shows typical overnight lows near 11–12 °C, providing a benchmark against which current guidance is assessed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 15. Juni?
13°C 36%
12°C 32%
11°C 26%
14°C 4%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
32%
13°C
36%
14°C
4%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 36%
12°C 32%
11°C 26%
14°C 4%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
25%
12°C
32%
13°C
36%
14°C
4%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in London on June 15 most likely between 10–13 °C, driven by moderate radiative cooling overnight under partly clear skies and light winds following a cool, unsettled early-June pattern after May’s record heat. Ensemble spreads and local urban heat-island effects create the narrow probability differences among 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest model runs and any revisions to cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture. Historical June climatology for central London shows typical overnight lows near 11–12 °C, providing a benchmark against which current guidance is assessed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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