Recent KMA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs show Seoul’s overnight minimum on June 15 likely settling in the 18–19 °C range amid typical early-summer conditions of moderate humidity and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or light southwesterly flow can shift the low by 1 °C, while urban heat-island effects and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep extremes unlikely. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates plus the official KMA morning forecast will provide the last key data before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 15. Juni?
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
20°C 22%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
43%
19°C
33%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 49%
19°C 33%
20°C 22%
17°C 8%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
43%
19°C
33%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA short-range guidance and ensemble model runs show Seoul’s overnight minimum on June 15 likely settling in the 18–19 °C range amid typical early-summer conditions of moderate humidity and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or light southwesterly flow can shift the low by 1 °C, while urban heat-island effects and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep extremes unlikely. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model updates plus the official KMA morning forecast will provide the last key data before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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