Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on June 14, consistent with the market's leading 74-75°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points are limiting radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 67°F, but this season's warmer baseline and current steering pattern have shifted expectations higher. Traders appear to weigh the spread of recent model runs—some showing modest cooling if skies clear overnight—against the risk that any convective activity could hold temperatures elevated, keeping multiple bins in play until final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 14. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 14. Juni?
74-75°F 41%
70-71°F 29%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 17%
NEU
NEU
14. Juni 2026
63°F oder darunter
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F oder höher
<1%
74-75°F 41%
70-71°F 29%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 17%
NEU
NEU
14. Juni 2026
63°F oder darunter
$377 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$586 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$620 Vol.
17%
68-69°F
$142 Vol.
11%
70-71°F
$127 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$67 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$115 Vol.
34%
76-77°F
$377 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$52 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$487 Vol.
<1%
82°F oder höher
$347 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on June 14, consistent with the market's leading 74-75°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points are limiting radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 67°F, but this season's warmer baseline and current steering pattern have shifted expectations higher. Traders appear to weigh the spread of recent model runs—some showing modest cooling if skies clear overnight—against the risk that any convective activity could hold temperatures elevated, keeping multiple bins in play until final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$3,291Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on June 14, consistent with the market's leading 74-75°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points are limiting radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 67°F, but this season's warmer baseline and current steering pattern have shifted expectations higher. Traders appear to weigh the spread of recent model runs—some showing modest cooling if skies clear overnight—against the risk that any convective activity could hold temperatures elevated, keeping multiple bins in play until final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,291Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on June 14, consistent with the market's leading 74-75°F bin at 34.5% implied probability. Persistent southerly flow and above-average dew points are limiting radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops into the upper 60s. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 67°F, but this season's warmer baseline and current steering pattern have shifted expectations higher. Traders appear to weigh the spread of recent model runs—some showing modest cooling if skies clear overnight—against the risk that any convective activity could hold temperatures elevated, keeping multiple bins in play until final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen