A passing cold front is the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F highs for Dallas on June 15, with those bins each at 21.5%. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate post-frontal northeasterly flow will limit daytime heating after Saturday–Sunday showers, keeping temperatures well below the seasonal 90–93°F climatological average. Key uncertainties differentiating the 78–79°F, 84–85°F, and adjacent outcomes center on the exact timing of frontal passage, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Latest short-range model runs show only modest spread, supporting the balanced trader positioning as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Dallas on June 15?
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 21%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 12%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 21%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 12%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...A passing cold front is the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F highs for Dallas on June 15, with those bins each at 21.5%. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate post-frontal northeasterly flow will limit daytime heating after Saturday–Sunday showers, keeping temperatures well below the seasonal 90–93°F climatological average. Key uncertainties differentiating the 78–79°F, 84–85°F, and adjacent outcomes center on the exact timing of frontal passage, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Latest short-range model runs show only modest spread, supporting the balanced trader positioning as resolution nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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