Latest forecast guidance from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on June 15, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, typical early wet-season conditions—afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and moderated insolation—limit daytime heating close to the June climatological average of 25–26°C. Minor differences in model timing of precipitation or boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C, while lower-probability outcomes above 27°C or below 24°C would require unusually clear skies or stronger convective cooling, respectively. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 15. Juni?
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
31%
26°C
35%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C oder mehr
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 31%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
31%
26°C
35%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C oder mehr
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on June 15, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus. At the city’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters, typical early wet-season conditions—afternoon cloud build-up, scattered showers, and moderated insolation—limit daytime heating close to the June climatological average of 25–26°C. Minor differences in model timing of precipitation or boundary-layer moisture explain the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C, while lower-probability outcomes above 27°C or below 24°C would require unusually clear skies or stronger convective cooling, respectively. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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