**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Miami on June 15 centers on typical early-summer conditions, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 78–79°F (39%) and 76–77°F (23.5%).** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project an overnight low near 78°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with June normals of roughly 77–79°F at Miami International Airport. High humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated even after daytime highs reach the upper 80s to low 90s. The current hot, humid pattern with scattered afternoon thunderstorms shows no incoming cold fronts or unusual synoptic shifts that would drop temperatures into the mid-70s or below. Ensemble models reinforce this clustering around the upper 70s, producing the observed probability distribution where outcomes outside 76–81°F receive minimal share. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any last-minute model runs could refine the exact value within that narrow band before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 15. Juni?
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 6%
67°F oder darunter
<1%
20-21 °C
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 14%
74-75°F 6%
67°F oder darunter
<1%
20-21 °C
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Miami on June 15 centers on typical early-summer conditions, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 78–79°F (39%) and 76–77°F (23.5%).** National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance project an overnight low near 78°F under partly cloudy skies, consistent with June normals of roughly 77–79°F at Miami International Airport. High humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima elevated even after daytime highs reach the upper 80s to low 90s. The current hot, humid pattern with scattered afternoon thunderstorms shows no incoming cold fronts or unusual synoptic shifts that would drop temperatures into the mid-70s or below. Ensemble models reinforce this clustering around the upper 70s, producing the observed probability distribution where outcomes outside 76–81°F receive minimal share. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any last-minute model runs could refine the exact value within that narrow band before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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