Recent cooler-than-average conditions across southeastern Brazil, driven by persistent southerly flow and Atlantic maritime air masses, have positioned 18°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s June 15 maximum, with market-implied odds reflecting model consensus around 17–19°C. Winter climatology typically yields highs near 21–22°C, yet June 2026 observations show departures of 2–4°C below normal amid stable high pressure and limited insolation from increased cloud cover. Short-range forecasts indicate minimal diurnal warming tomorrow due to light winds and possible morning fog, keeping peaks suppressed. Updated numerical guidance from regional models shows low probability of exceeding 20°C without a stronger northerly shift, supporting the tight clustering around the current leader.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 15. Juni?
18°C 44%
17°C 26%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
26%
18°C
44%
19°C
16%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 44%
17°C 26%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
26%
18°C
44%
19°C
16%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooler-than-average conditions across southeastern Brazil, driven by persistent southerly flow and Atlantic maritime air masses, have positioned 18°C as the leading outcome for São Paulo’s June 15 maximum, with market-implied odds reflecting model consensus around 17–19°C. Winter climatology typically yields highs near 21–22°C, yet June 2026 observations show departures of 2–4°C below normal amid stable high pressure and limited insolation from increased cloud cover. Short-range forecasts indicate minimal diurnal warming tomorrow due to light winds and possible morning fog, keeping peaks suppressed. Updated numerical guidance from regional models shows low probability of exceeding 20°C without a stronger northerly shift, supporting the tight clustering around the current leader.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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