Current forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by a cool westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, with minor uncertainty from exact timing of any breaks in cloud or localized convective activity that could briefly allow an extra degree of warming. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 22°C, underscoring how this transient cool anomaly has compressed the distribution and produced the near-even market split between 17°C and 18°C implied probabilities. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 15. Juni?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 15. Juni?
17°C 40%
18°C 39%
19°C 9%
16°C 8%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
10°C oder niedriger
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
9%
20°C oder höher
2%
17°C 40%
18°C 39%
19°C 9%
16°C 8%
NEU
NEU
15. Juni 2026
10°C oder niedriger
$605 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$575 Vol.
1%
15°C
$713 Vol.
1%
16°C
$832 Vol.
8%
17°C
$371 Vol.
40%
18°C
$1,030 Vol.
39%
19°C
$308 Vol.
9%
20°C oder höher
$1,118 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by a cool westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, with minor uncertainty from exact timing of any breaks in cloud or localized convective activity that could briefly allow an extra degree of warming. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 22°C, underscoring how this transient cool anomaly has compressed the distribution and produced the near-even market split between 17°C and 18°C implied probabilities. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$6,296Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by a cool westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, with minor uncertainty from exact timing of any breaks in cloud or localized convective activity that could briefly allow an extra degree of warming. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 22°C, underscoring how this transient cool anomaly has compressed the distribution and produced the near-even market split between 17°C and 18°C implied probabilities. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,296Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the UK Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 17°C in Warsaw on June 15, driven by a cool westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, with minor uncertainty from exact timing of any breaks in cloud or localized convective activity that could briefly allow an extra degree of warming. Historical June climatology places typical highs near 22°C, underscoring how this transient cool anomaly has compressed the distribution and produced the near-even market split between 17°C and 18°C implied probabilities. Official observations from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will resolve the market once the calendar day ends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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