Recent European model consensus, including updates from the ECMWF, points to a moderating frontal passage over central Poland on June 16, 2026, limiting Warsaw's daytime maximum to around 19°C amid light rain showers and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability where cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below the seasonal 22°C average. Current surface observations near 19°C and stable pressure patterns reinforce trader positioning, though minor model disagreements on exact rainfall timing could still nudge the final reading toward 20°C or 18°C. Updated guidance ahead of the June 16 observation window will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 39%
20°C 30%
18°C 19%
21°C 5.8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
15°C oder weniger
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
39%
20°C
30%
21°C
6%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 30%
18°C 19%
21°C 5.8%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
15°C oder weniger
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$70 Vol.
1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
3%
18°C
$120 Vol.
19%
19°C
$89 Vol.
39%
20°C
$72 Vol.
30%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$247 Vol.
1%
24°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including updates from the ECMWF, points to a moderating frontal passage over central Poland on June 16, 2026, limiting Warsaw's daytime maximum to around 19°C amid light rain showers and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability where cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below the seasonal 22°C average. Current surface observations near 19°C and stable pressure patterns reinforce trader positioning, though minor model disagreements on exact rainfall timing could still nudge the final reading toward 20°C or 18°C. Updated guidance ahead of the June 16 observation window will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,080Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including updates from the ECMWF, points to a moderating frontal passage over central Poland on June 16, 2026, limiting Warsaw's daytime maximum to around 19°C amid light rain showers and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability where cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below the seasonal 22°C average. Current surface observations near 19°C and stable pressure patterns reinforce trader positioning, though minor model disagreements on exact rainfall timing could still nudge the final reading toward 20°C or 18°C. Updated guidance ahead of the June 16 observation window will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,080Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus, including updates from the ECMWF, points to a moderating frontal passage over central Poland on June 16, 2026, limiting Warsaw's daytime maximum to around 19°C amid light rain showers and westerly winds of 15–20 km/h. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered at 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-summer variability where cloud cover and precipitation suppress peaks below the seasonal 22°C average. Current surface observations near 19°C and stable pressure patterns reinforce trader positioning, though minor model disagreements on exact rainfall timing could still nudge the final reading toward 20°C or 18°C. Updated guidance ahead of the June 16 observation window will be the key near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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