Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris will reach a daytime maximum of 25–27°C on June 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs near 23°C can exceed 26°C during settled anticyclonic conditions, consistent with recent observational trends of above-normal temperatures across northern France. The market’s near-certain 26°C+ outcome reflects this model consensus and real-time surface observations showing rapid morning warming. A late-day marine intrusion or unexpected cloud build-up could cap the peak just below threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Paris am 12. Juni?
26°C oder höher 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$98,699 Vol.
$98,699 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Ja
26°C oder höher 100.0%
16°C oder darunter <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$98,699 Vol.
$98,699 Vol.
16°C oder darunter
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C oder höher
Ja
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Current forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate Paris will reach a daytime maximum of 25–27°C on June 12 under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong solar heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology, where average highs near 23°C can exceed 26°C during settled anticyclonic conditions, consistent with recent observational trends of above-normal temperatures across northern France. The market’s near-certain 26°C+ outcome reflects this model consensus and real-time surface observations showing rapid morning warming. A late-day marine intrusion or unexpected cloud build-up could cap the peak just below threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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