Recent forecasts from major models place Beijing's June 15 maximum near 29–31°C, with ensemble spreads and lingering uncertainty over afternoon convection driving the tight clustering at 29°C (33.5%) and 30°C (24.5%). Cloud cover, expected thundershowers, and variable boundary-layer mixing can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky scenarios, while stronger insolation or delayed precipitation would favor the upper end. Historical June averages hover near 30°C, but day-to-day variability from East Asian monsoon influences and local urban heat effects keeps shorter-range guidance sensitive to the latest model runs and observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 34%
30°C 25%
28°C 16%
31°C 11%
$22,584 Vol.
$22,584 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
34%
30°C
25%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 25%
28°C 16%
31°C 11%
$22,584 Vol.
$22,584 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
34%
30°C
25%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models place Beijing's June 15 maximum near 29–31°C, with ensemble spreads and lingering uncertainty over afternoon convection driving the tight clustering at 29°C (33.5%) and 30°C (24.5%). Cloud cover, expected thundershowers, and variable boundary-layer mixing can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to clear-sky scenarios, while stronger insolation or delayed precipitation would favor the upper end. Historical June averages hover near 30°C, but day-to-day variability from East Asian monsoon influences and local urban heat effects keeps shorter-range guidance sensitive to the latest model runs and observational updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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