Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow's June 17 daytime high most likely between 17–19°C, with BBC guidance at 18°C under thundery showers and other sources ranging 17–20°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because short-range guidance shows modest spread from variable cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and modest southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater insolation and slightly higher readings; model differences in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind also contribute to the narrow probability distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
18°C 28%
17°C 24%
19°C 11%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
24%
18°C
28%
19°C
11%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 28%
17°C 24%
19°C 11%
16°C 10%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
24%
18°C
28%
19°C
11%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow's June 17 daytime high most likely between 17–19°C, with BBC guidance at 18°C under thundery showers and other sources ranging 17–20°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because short-range guidance shows modest spread from variable cloud cover, scattered precipitation, and modest southerly flow that limits daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, versus clearer intervals that allow greater insolation and slightly higher readings; model differences in boundary-layer moisture and low-level wind also contribute to the narrow probability distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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