Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and BBC Weather show Shenzhen's June 18 high likely reaching 28–29°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms or thundery showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Subtropical monsoon moisture from the South China Sea fuels convective activity and cloud cover, limiting solar insolation while typical early-summer humidity keeps lows near 25–26°C. These patterns align closely with climatological June averages of 30–31°C but reflect short-term steering by regional pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, with only modest probability on 30°C if convection weakens. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 18?
29°C 34%
28°C 31%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
31%
29°C
34%
30°C
17%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
28°C 31%
30°C 17%
27°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
31%
29°C
34%
30°C
17%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate.com and BBC Weather show Shenzhen's June 18 high likely reaching 28–29°C under overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms or thundery showers, moderating peak heating compared to clearer conditions. Subtropical monsoon moisture from the South China Sea fuels convective activity and cloud cover, limiting solar insolation while typical early-summer humidity keeps lows near 25–26°C. These patterns align closely with climatological June averages of 30–31°C but reflect short-term steering by regional pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters around 28–29°C as the most probable outcomes given current model agreement, with only modest probability on 30°C if convection weakens. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs ahead of the date could shift these odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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