Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow’s June 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 15–17 °C, driven by a cool northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for small shifts if breaks in the overcast occur or if a weak frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Historical June averages hover around 20 °C, so the current setup reflects below-normal temperatures tied to regional pressure patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because new model runs tonight and tomorrow morning could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C depending on observed cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 30%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
18°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
24%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 30%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
18°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
12°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$181 Vol.
4%
14°C
$182 Vol.
10%
15°C
$172 Vol.
24%
16°C
$165 Vol.
30%
17°C
$421 Vol.
26%
18°C
$446 Vol.
10%
19°C
$258 Vol.
4%
20°C
$378 Vol.
1%
21°C
$98 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow’s June 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 15–17 °C, driven by a cool northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for small shifts if breaks in the overcast occur or if a weak frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Historical June averages hover around 20 °C, so the current setup reflects below-normal temperatures tied to regional pressure patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because new model runs tonight and tomorrow morning could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C depending on observed cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Volumen
$2,350Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow’s June 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 15–17 °C, driven by a cool northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for small shifts if breaks in the overcast occur or if a weak frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Historical June averages hover around 20 °C, so the current setup reflects below-normal temperatures tied to regional pressure patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because new model runs tonight and tomorrow morning could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C depending on observed cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,350Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Moscow’s June 18 daytime maximum likely peaking near 15–17 °C, driven by a cool northerly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating. Ensemble spreads remain modest but allow for small shifts if breaks in the overcast occur or if a weak frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Historical June averages hover around 20 °C, so the current setup reflects below-normal temperatures tied to regional pressure patterns. Traders assign roughly equal weight to the three leading outcomes because new model runs tonight and tomorrow morning could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C depending on observed cloud trends and boundary-layer mixing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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