Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, KNMI, and the UK Met Office converges on a 26–28 °C daytime maximum for Amsterdam on 18 June, driven by a south-westerly flow advecting mild air under partly cloudy skies with moderate insolation. The near-even split between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities reflects small differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing across model runs, with limited scope for higher values given the modest thermal advection and typical June sea-breeze moderation. Historical climatology places the June mean maximum near 20–22 °C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly whose exact peak hinges on the next 48-hour model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
36%
28°C
34%
29°C
13%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
26°C 14%
29°C 13%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
21°C or below
$279 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$280 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$451 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$299 Vol.
1%
26°C
$832 Vol.
14%
27°C
$525 Vol.
36%
28°C
$514 Vol.
34%
29°C
$518 Vol.
13%
30°C
$350 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$269 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, KNMI, and the UK Met Office converges on a 26–28 °C daytime maximum for Amsterdam on 18 June, driven by a south-westerly flow advecting mild air under partly cloudy skies with moderate insolation. The near-even split between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities reflects small differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing across model runs, with limited scope for higher values given the modest thermal advection and typical June sea-breeze moderation. Historical climatology places the June mean maximum near 20–22 °C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly whose exact peak hinges on the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Volumen
$4,623Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, KNMI, and the UK Met Office converges on a 26–28 °C daytime maximum for Amsterdam on 18 June, driven by a south-westerly flow advecting mild air under partly cloudy skies with moderate insolation. The near-even split between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities reflects small differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing across model runs, with limited scope for higher values given the modest thermal advection and typical June sea-breeze moderation. Historical climatology places the June mean maximum near 20–22 °C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly whose exact peak hinges on the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,623Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF, KNMI, and the UK Met Office converges on a 26–28 °C daytime maximum for Amsterdam on 18 June, driven by a south-westerly flow advecting mild air under partly cloudy skies with moderate insolation. The near-even split between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities reflects small differences in predicted cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing across model runs, with limited scope for higher values given the modest thermal advection and typical June sea-breeze moderation. Historical climatology places the June mean maximum near 20–22 °C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly whose exact peak hinges on the next 48-hour model updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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