Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on June 18 will likely reach 34–36°C under sunny skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market’s tight split between 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (37.5%). High pressure and warm-air advection maintain strong daytime heating, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover limit cooling; small differences in boundary-layer mixing or the precise timing of the daily maximum can shift the outcome by 1°C. Recent warming trends through mid-June, with highs climbing from the low 30s earlier in the week, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 18?
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
34°C 11%
37°C 6.5%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
11%
35°C
43%
36°C
37%
37°C
7%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
34°C 11%
37°C 6.5%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
31°C or below
$754 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$479 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,772 Vol.
11%
35°C
$985 Vol.
43%
36°C
$1,634 Vol.
37%
37°C
$725 Vol.
7%
38°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on June 18 will likely reach 34–36°C under sunny skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market’s tight split between 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (37.5%). High pressure and warm-air advection maintain strong daytime heating, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover limit cooling; small differences in boundary-layer mixing or the precise timing of the daily maximum can shift the outcome by 1°C. Recent warming trends through mid-June, with highs climbing from the low 30s earlier in the week, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volumen
$8,371Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on June 18 will likely reach 34–36°C under sunny skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market’s tight split between 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (37.5%). High pressure and warm-air advection maintain strong daytime heating, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover limit cooling; small differences in boundary-layer mixing or the precise timing of the daily maximum can shift the outcome by 1°C. Recent warming trends through mid-June, with highs climbing from the low 30s earlier in the week, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,371Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate peak temperatures in Madrid on June 18 will likely reach 34–36°C under sunny skies and light easterly winds, aligning with the market’s tight split between 35°C (42.5%) and 36°C (37.5%). High pressure and warm-air advection maintain strong daytime heating, while low humidity and minimal cloud cover limit cooling; small differences in boundary-layer mixing or the precise timing of the daily maximum can shift the outcome by 1°C. Recent warming trends through mid-June, with highs climbing from the low 30s earlier in the week, reinforce trader focus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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