Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a mild winter pattern for Cape Town on June 18, with daytime highs likely reaching 18–19°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeasterly winds. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 19°C (38.5% implied probability), followed by 18°C and 20°C, as climatological averages for mid-June hover near 17–18°C with typical variability of ±2–3°C driven by transient high-pressure systems rather than strong frontal activity. No significant cold fronts or heat intrusions appear imminent in the latest runs, supporting trader consensus around these central outcomes while leaving room for minor model shifts closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 18?
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 5.9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
21%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
18°C 22%
20°C 21%
21°C 5.9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
39%
20°C
21%
21°C
6%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the South African Weather Service indicate a mild winter pattern for Cape Town on June 18, with daytime highs likely reaching 18–19°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southeasterly winds. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 19°C (38.5% implied probability), followed by 18°C and 20°C, as climatological averages for mid-June hover near 17–18°C with typical variability of ±2–3°C driven by transient high-pressure systems rather than strong frontal activity. No significant cold fronts or heat intrusions appear imminent in the latest runs, supporting trader consensus around these central outcomes while leaving room for minor model shifts closer to the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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