Recent short-range ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS places Milan’s June 16 maximum near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow that favors strong daytime radiative heating with limited moisture advection. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing depth and slight variations in Alpine drainage keep the distribution tight, supporting the near-even market split between 29 °C (41 %) and 30 °C (35 %). Climatological mid-June norms of 26–28 °C underscore the warmer anomaly, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage through the resolution window limits upside to 31 °C or higher. Final official station readings will hinge on the precise timing of peak insolation and any last-minute adjustments in the 48-hour forecast cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on June 16?
29°C 41%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
16%
29°C
41%
30°C
35%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 10%
27°C or below
2%
28°C
16%
29°C
41%
30°C
35%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and GFS places Milan’s June 16 maximum near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow that favors strong daytime radiative heating with limited moisture advection. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing depth and slight variations in Alpine drainage keep the distribution tight, supporting the near-even market split between 29 °C (41 %) and 30 °C (35 %). Climatological mid-June norms of 26–28 °C underscore the warmer anomaly, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage through the resolution window limits upside to 31 °C or higher. Final official station readings will hinge on the precise timing of peak insolation and any last-minute adjustments in the 48-hour forecast cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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