Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on June 15 clustering near 30–32°C amid persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or advection of cooler air. Subtle differences among outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing depth, precise timing of maximum insolation, and minor variations in surface wind speeds, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC currently centers around 32–33°C, yet the tightly bunched market probabilities reflect traders’ recognition of residual forecast uncertainty this close to the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on June 15?
31°C 39%
30°C 33%
32°C 23%
29°C or below 5.1%
29°C or below
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
39%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 33%
32°C 23%
29°C or below 5.1%
29°C or below
5%
30°C
33%
31°C
39%
32°C
23%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on June 15 clustering near 30–32°C amid persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow that favors strong daytime heating without significant cloud cover or advection of cooler air. Subtle differences among outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing depth, precise timing of maximum insolation, and minor variations in surface wind speeds, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC currently centers around 32–33°C, yet the tightly bunched market probabilities reflect traders’ recognition of residual forecast uncertainty this close to the event.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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