Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Tel Aviv on June 18, with ensemble guidance from global models showing modest spread centered between 28–30°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C because small differences in the strength of the subtropical ridge, Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C, and the timing of the afternoon sea breeze can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Recent mid-June observations, with several days reaching 30–32°C, have kept the slight upward bias in market-implied odds while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer mixing on short time scales.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
30°C 45%
29°C 42%
31°C 7%
28°C 3.4%
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
42%
30°C
45%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 45%
29°C 42%
31°C 7%
28°C 3.4%
26°C oder darunter
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
42%
30°C
45%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Tel Aviv on June 18, with ensemble guidance from global models showing modest spread centered between 28–30°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C because small differences in the strength of the subtropical ridge, Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C, and the timing of the afternoon sea breeze can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Recent mid-June observations, with several days reaching 30–32°C, have kept the slight upward bias in market-implied odds while underscoring the inherent uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer mixing on short time scales.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen