**Recent forecast model runs for Shanghai on June 16 show daytime maxima clustered between 25–28 °C, with 26 °C and 27 °C emerging as the modal outcomes and driving the near-even market split.** Persistent East Asian monsoon flow and the tail end of the mei-yu (plum rain) period are expected to maintain extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting surface heating and keeping highs below the late-June climatological average of ~28 °C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits modest spread tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective cells; stronger insolation under partial clearing would favor the upper end of the range, while persistent overcast or earlier rainfall would cap readings near 25 °C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the 48-hour window will be the key catalysts for any further market movement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
26°C 31%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 11.5%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
18%
26°C
31%
27°C
31%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
27°C 31%
25°C 18%
28°C 11.5%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
20°C or below
$122 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$77 Vol.
1%
23°C
$371 Vol.
1%
24°C
$124 Vol.
8%
25°C
$184 Vol.
18%
26°C
$63 Vol.
31%
27°C
$93 Vol.
31%
28°C
$194 Vol.
11%
29°C
$23 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$245 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs for Shanghai on June 16 show daytime maxima clustered between 25–28 °C, with 26 °C and 27 °C emerging as the modal outcomes and driving the near-even market split.**
Persistent East Asian monsoon flow and the tail end of the mei-yu (plum rain) period are expected to maintain extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting surface heating and keeping highs below the late-June climatological average of ~28 °C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits modest spread tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective cells; stronger insolation under partial clearing would favor the upper end of the range, while persistent overcast or earlier rainfall would cap readings near 25 °C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the 48-hour window will be the key catalysts for any further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,406Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs for Shanghai on June 16 show daytime maxima clustered between 25–28 °C, with 26 °C and 27 °C emerging as the modal outcomes and driving the near-even market split.**
Persistent East Asian monsoon flow and the tail end of the mei-yu (plum rain) period are expected to maintain extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting surface heating and keeping highs below the late-June climatological average of ~28 °C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits modest spread tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective cells; stronger insolation under partial clearing would favor the upper end of the range, while persistent overcast or earlier rainfall would cap readings near 25 °C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the 48-hour window will be the key catalysts for any further market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,406Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model runs for Shanghai on June 16 show daytime maxima clustered between 25–28 °C, with 26 °C and 27 °C emerging as the modal outcomes and driving the near-even market split.** Persistent East Asian monsoon flow and the tail end of the mei-yu (plum rain) period are expected to maintain extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limiting surface heating and keeping highs below the late-June climatological average of ~28 °C. Ensemble guidance from global models exhibits modest spread tied to the precise timing and coverage of convective cells; stronger insolation under partial clearing would favor the upper end of the range, while persistent overcast or earlier rainfall would cap readings near 25 °C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and refined high-resolution runs ahead of the 48-hour window will be the key catalysts for any further market movement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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