Current short-range forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C, with trader consensus tightly clustered around these values due to modest run-to-run spread. Key drivers include a weak westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, limited cloud cover allowing moderate diurnal heating, and surface pressure near 1015–1020 hPa that suppresses strong vertical mixing. Minor differences between 24°C and 25°C hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any passing showers or breaks in cloud, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble probabilities remain balanced because forecast uncertainty grows even at 48-hour lead times for local maxima, and historical June variability in the region shows similar day-to-day swings of 2–4°C under comparable synoptic setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
32%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 7%
NEU
NEU
18. Juni 2026
19°C or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$216 Vol.
1%
22°C
$151 Vol.
2%
23°C
$281 Vol.
22%
24°C
$191 Vol.
40%
25°C
$298 Vol.
32%
26°C
$190 Vol.
7%
27°C
$272 Vol.
3%
28°C
$578 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$718 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C, with trader consensus tightly clustered around these values due to modest run-to-run spread. Key drivers include a weak westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, limited cloud cover allowing moderate diurnal heating, and surface pressure near 1015–1020 hPa that suppresses strong vertical mixing. Minor differences between 24°C and 25°C hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any passing showers or breaks in cloud, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble probabilities remain balanced because forecast uncertainty grows even at 48-hour lead times for local maxima, and historical June variability in the region shows similar day-to-day swings of 2–4°C under comparable synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Volumen
$3,244Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C, with trader consensus tightly clustered around these values due to modest run-to-run spread. Key drivers include a weak westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, limited cloud cover allowing moderate diurnal heating, and surface pressure near 1015–1020 hPa that suppresses strong vertical mixing. Minor differences between 24°C and 25°C hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any passing showers or breaks in cloud, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble probabilities remain balanced because forecast uncertainty grows even at 48-hour lead times for local maxima, and historical June variability in the region shows similar day-to-day swings of 2–4°C under comparable synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,244Enddatum
18. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C, with trader consensus tightly clustered around these values due to modest run-to-run spread. Key drivers include a weak westerly flow advecting mild Atlantic air, limited cloud cover allowing moderate diurnal heating, and surface pressure near 1015–1020 hPa that suppresses strong vertical mixing. Minor differences between 24°C and 25°C hinge on the exact timing and coverage of any passing showers or breaks in cloud, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Ensemble probabilities remain balanced because forecast uncertainty grows even at 48-hour lead times for local maxima, and historical June variability in the region shows similar day-to-day swings of 2–4°C under comparable synoptic setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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