Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich’s June 16 maximum temperature centered at 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and a moderate westerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. This consensus, reinforced by the most recent model runs, underpins the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Differences hinge on subtle variables: the precise timing of cloud breaks that control shortwave radiation receipt, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon warming. Historical June maxima average near 22 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology while leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on June 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?
22°C 32%
23°C 27%
21°C 19%
24°C 19%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
19%
22°C
32%
23°C
27%
24°C
19%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 32%
23°C 27%
21°C 19%
24°C 19%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
18°C or below
$569 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$79 Vol.
5%
21°C
$147 Vol.
19%
22°C
$124 Vol.
32%
23°C
$191 Vol.
27%
24°C
$802 Vol.
19%
25°C
$615 Vol.
2%
26°C
$346 Vol.
1%
27°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich’s June 16 maximum temperature centered at 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and a moderate westerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. This consensus, reinforced by the most recent model runs, underpins the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Differences hinge on subtle variables: the precise timing of cloud breaks that control shortwave radiation receipt, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon warming. Historical June maxima average near 22 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology while leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$4,367Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich’s June 16 maximum temperature centered at 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and a moderate westerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. This consensus, reinforced by the most recent model runs, underpins the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Differences hinge on subtle variables: the precise timing of cloud breaks that control shortwave radiation receipt, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon warming. Historical June maxima average near 22 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology while leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,367Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich’s June 16 maximum temperature centered at 22–23 °C, with limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and a moderate westerly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air. This consensus, reinforced by the most recent model runs, underpins the tight market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Differences hinge on subtle variables: the precise timing of cloud breaks that control shortwave radiation receipt, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any weak frontal passage that could cap afternoon warming. Historical June maxima average near 22 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology while leaving room for small forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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