Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 16. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the Mediterranean, is expected to moderate afternoon peaks and limit advection of hotter continental air. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounting for the tight clustering around the 29–31°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 27–30°C, providing context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes above 32°C absent a shift in steering flow. Updated short-range guidance on June 15 will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 38%
29°C 30%
31°C 14%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
30%
30°C
38%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
29°C 30%
31°C 14%
32°C 7%
NEU
NEU
16. Juni 2026
26°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$202 Vol.
5%
29°C
$117 Vol.
30%
30°C
$128 Vol.
38%
31°C
$133 Vol.
14%
32°C
$69 Vol.
7%
33°C
$50 Vol.
1%
34°C
$15 Vol.
1%
35°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 16. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the Mediterranean, is expected to moderate afternoon peaks and limit advection of hotter continental air. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounting for the tight clustering around the 29–31°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 27–30°C, providing context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes above 32°C absent a shift in steering flow. Updated short-range guidance on June 15 will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,540Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 16. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the Mediterranean, is expected to moderate afternoon peaks and limit advection of hotter continental air. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounting for the tight clustering around the 29–31°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 27–30°C, providing context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes above 32°C absent a shift in steering flow. Updated short-range guidance on June 15 will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,540Enddatum
16. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a stable high-pressure pattern over the eastern Mediterranean, supporting daytime maxima near 28–30°C in Tel Aviv on June 16. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, driven by differential heating between land and the Mediterranean, is expected to moderate afternoon peaks and limit advection of hotter continental air. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with minor differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing accounting for the tight clustering around the 29–31°C outcomes. Historical June climatology shows average highs of 27–30°C, providing context for why traders assign limited probability to extremes above 32°C absent a shift in steering flow. Updated short-range guidance on June 15 will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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