**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Tel Aviv on June 14, 2026, reflecting strong agreement among numerical weather prediction models and observational data.** Mid-June Mediterranean climatology features persistent subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating over the coastal plain. Ensemble forecasts from sources aligned with National Meteorological Services indicate a maximum near 30°C (86°F), consistent with the June average high of approximately 29–30°C and minimal day-to-day variability under current synoptic conditions. Low uncertainty in short-range guidance—driven by stable steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C—explains the near-certain market pricing. A modest shift in cloud cover, an earlier or stronger sea breeze, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing could still push the verified maximum one degree lower or higher before official observation at the primary station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$31,661 Vol.
$31,661 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$31,661 Vol.
$31,661 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 30°C high in Tel Aviv on June 14, 2026, reflecting strong agreement among numerical weather prediction models and observational data.** Mid-June Mediterranean climatology features persistent subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies, light winds, and efficient daytime heating over the coastal plain. Ensemble forecasts from sources aligned with National Meteorological Services indicate a maximum near 30°C (86°F), consistent with the June average high of approximately 29–30°C and minimal day-to-day variability under current synoptic conditions. Low uncertainty in short-range guidance—driven by stable steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C—explains the near-certain market pricing. A modest shift in cloud cover, an earlier or stronger sea breeze, or model bias in boundary-layer mixing could still push the verified maximum one degree lower or higher before official observation at the primary station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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