Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 15, sustaining the near-even split between those two outcomes in trader pricing. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early summer are limiting daytime heating, while subtle variations in model handling of cloud cover and wind direction create the narrow uncertainty band. Historical June averages near 29°C provide context, yet current observational trends and short-range guidance favor the lower end of that range without clear signals for either intensification or cooling. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely resolve the remaining spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
29°C 48%
28°C 43%
30°C 5.0%
27°C 3.0%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
43%
29°C
48%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 43%
30°C 5.0%
27°C 3.0%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
43%
29°C
48%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 15, sustaining the near-even split between those two outcomes in trader pricing. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity typical of the eastern Mediterranean in early summer are limiting daytime heating, while subtle variations in model handling of cloud cover and wind direction create the narrow uncertainty band. Historical June averages near 29°C provide context, yet current observational trends and short-range guidance favor the lower end of that range without clear signals for either intensification or cooling. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely resolve the remaining spread before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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