Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 20, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's tight 31.5% and 29.5% probabilities for those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city's highland setting and early wet-season conditions—marked by increasing humidity, convective cloud build-up, and afternoon showers—typically limit peak temperatures through reduced insolation. Official guidance from regional models shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of cloud fields or localized rain, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C and 24°C nearly even in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 20?
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 21%
22°C 8%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
27%
24°C
44%
25°C
21%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 21%
22°C 8%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
27%
24°C
44%
25°C
21%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 18, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on June 20, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–24°C, aligning with the market's tight 31.5% and 29.5% probabilities for those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city's highland setting and early wet-season conditions—marked by increasing humidity, convective cloud build-up, and afternoon showers—typically limit peak temperatures through reduced insolation. Official guidance from regional models shows modest variability tied to the timing and coverage of cloud fields or localized rain, which can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 24°C, providing a baseline, yet short-term steering patterns and urban heat effects introduce enough uncertainty to keep 23°C and 24°C nearly even in trader sentiment ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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