Recent high temperatures near or at 96°F, including a daily record tie or break in mid-August, combined with National Weather Service forecasts for mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 19, underpin the strong market consensus around 96-97°F. Subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are limiting afternoon mixing and cloud cover, allowing greater surface heating than the seasonal 89-90°F average. Model consensus from NOAA shows limited thunderstorm development that could cap the maximum, though any earlier sea breeze or convective activity introduces uncertainty in the exact peak. This positions upper-90s readings as the most probable outcome given current atmospheric conditions and recent observational trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 19. August?
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F oder höher
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high temperatures near or at 96°F, including a daily record tie or break in mid-August, combined with National Weather Service forecasts for mostly sunny skies and light winds on August 19, underpin the strong market consensus around 96-97°F. Subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity are limiting afternoon mixing and cloud cover, allowing greater surface heating than the seasonal 89-90°F average. Model consensus from NOAA shows limited thunderstorm development that could cap the maximum, though any earlier sea breeze or convective activity introduces uncertainty in the exact peak. This positions upper-90s readings as the most probable outcome given current atmospheric conditions and recent observational trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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