Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 13. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 13. Juli?
23°C 25%
24°C 21%
22°C 21%
25°C 14.9%
NEU
NEU
13. Juli 2026
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22°C
21%
23°C
25%
24°C
21%
25°C
15%
26°C oder höher
8%
23°C 25%
24°C 21%
22°C 21%
25°C 14.9%
NEU
NEU
13. Juli 2026
16°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
12%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C oder höher
$53 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$166Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$166Enddatum
13. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS places Moscow’s July 13 maximum near 21–24 °C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds centered on 22–24 °C. This range sits close to the city’s July climatological average high of roughly 23–24 °C, reflecting a transitional summer pattern where modest high-pressure influence competes with lingering moisture and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture advection from the northwest, and the exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated two days out, with successive model runs likely to refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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